"ABIO10 PGTW 080700\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/080700Z-081800ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZFEB2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND A ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.2S 125.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 125.4E, APPROXIMATELY 107 NM \r\nEAST OF BROWSE ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF ROTATION WITH DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION \r\nBUILDING OVER THE CENTER, LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE OF NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA. \r\nTHE CIRCULATION CENTER IS QUITE SMALL AND OFFSHORE BUT THE LARGER \r\nASSOCIATED ROTATION STRADDLES THE COASTLINE PER SURFACE WIND \r\nOBSERVATIONS FROM ACROSS THE REGION. A 080113Z PARTIAL ASCAT METOP-B \r\nSCATTEROMETRY PASS REVEALS A WIND FIELD OF 20 KNOTS IN THE NORTHEAST \r\nQUADRANT, WITH AREAS OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 96S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nFURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nLOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AND TRACK ROUGHLY \r\nPARALLEL TO THE NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIAN COAST. HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS \r\nDISAGREE ON THE PROGRESSION AND POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF 96S. ECMWF IS \r\nCURRENTLY THE PRIMARY MODEL INDICATING DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-\r\n36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 2.B(1) TO MEDIUM //"