"ABIO10 PGTW 110200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/\r\nREISSUED/110200Z-111800ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PERAL HARBOR HI/100751ZSEP2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS TROPICAL \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.6N 62.0E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.5S 95.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2S 95.5E, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM \r\nSOUTHWEST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, OFFSET BY WARM \r\n(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH 93S \r\nTRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MARGINAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT \r\n24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN AGREEMENT THAT THE \r\nCIRCULATION WILL TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECMWF SHOWING SUPPORT \r\nFOR A HIGHER INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1)//"