"ABPW10 PGTW 160600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZAPR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.2S 135.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6S 135.1E, APPROXIMATELY 302 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY \r\nAND A152052Z SSMIS F17 91H MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE \r\nLLCC. A RECENT OBSERVATION FROM CAPE WESSEL, AUSTRALIA INDICATES \r\nSUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS OF 19 KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nA MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KNOTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT, PORTRAYING SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 \r\nTO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO \r\n25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 30P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED \r\nNEAR 25.8S 173.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29.1S 172.7E, APPROXIMATELY 477 \r\nNM NORTH OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED \r\nAS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH \r\nTROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY AND A 151842Z SSMIS F16 91H MICROWAVE IMAGE \r\nDEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nTHE BULK OF THE CONVECTION SHEARED EAST AND POLEWARD. UPPER-LEVEL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 40-45 KNOTS, POOR UPPER-LEVEL \r\nOUTFLOW AND MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 25-26 C. \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MERGES WITH THE SUBTROPICAL LOW TO \r\nTHE WEST AND TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO \r\nGENERATE EXTENSIVE STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 TO 50 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 984 MB. FOR \r\nHAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO \r\nHIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST \r\nAUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR TRANSISTION INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.//"