"ABPW10 PGTW 170600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZAPR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 136.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S 136.7E, APPROXIMATELY 204 NM NORTH \r\nOF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nREVEALS A PARTIALLY OBSCURED, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nEMBEDDED UNDER A LARGER AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION. A 170014Z ASCAT \r\nMETOP-B IMAGE REVEALS A SMALL AREA OF 25 KTS COMING FROM THE NORTH \r\nWITHIN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND 15-20 KTS ELSEWHERE. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND \r\nWARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, SHOWING INTENSIFICATION IN THE GULF OF \r\nCARPENTARIA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"