{"ObservationDate":"2025-04-16T00:00:00","Latitude":-9.1,"Longitude":135.4,"Windspeed":25.0,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 97P","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 160000","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/160000Z-160600ZAPR2025//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.1S ","135.4E, APPROXIMATELY 337 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY AND A 152052Z SSMIS F17 91H ","MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW ","LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ","ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. A RECENT OBSERVATION FROM ","CAPE WESSEL, AUSTRALIA INDICATES SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS OF 19 ","KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ","ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-","15 KNOTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ","(SST) OF 29-30 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT, ","PORTRAYING SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 ","HOURS IS LOW."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:"," (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 30P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR ","25.1S 173.2E, APPROXIMATELY 708 NM NORTH OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND. THE ","SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM, GENERALLY ","CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE ","FEATURES. SUBTROPICAL STORM 30P HAS TRACKED UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL ","JET, WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EXTENSIVE DRY AIR ","ENTRAINMENT, AND IS MERGING WITH A LARGE SUBTROPICAL LOW. ANIMATED ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY AND A 151842Z SSMIS F16 91H ","MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ","CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION SHEARED EAST AND ","POLEWARD. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ","TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 40-45 ","KNOTS, POOR UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ","(SST) OF 25-26 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ","THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MERGES WITH THE ","SUBTROPICAL LOW TO THE WEST AND TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS ","EXPECTED TO GENERATE EXTENSIVE STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO ","48 HOURS. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER ","CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO ","DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ","ESTIMATED AT 45 TO 50 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED ","TO BE NEAR 986 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT ","TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW."," (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED FINAL WARNING INFORMATION FOR ","30P. ADDED 30P AS A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM AND ADDED A LOW AREA IN ","PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1).//"]}