"ABIO10 PGTW 171800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z-\r\n181800ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171321ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.9S 129.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S 129.7E, APPROXIMATELY 131 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) AND A 170907Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A COMPACT LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH POCKETS OF DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING \r\nOVER THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 C). GLOBAL \r\nMODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 97S WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP \r\nWITH A SLOW EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 171330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"