"ABPW10 PGTW 210600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/210600Z-220600ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZOCT2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0N \r\n141.7E, APPROXIMATELY 232 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED AREA OF TROUGHING \r\nWITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING NEAR LLCC IN THE SOUTHERN \r\nPERIPHERY. A 210042Z ASCAT METOP-C SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS \r\nMODERATE (15-20KT) WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 97W IS IN A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\nWITH A SHARP GRADIENT OF HIGH SHEAR TO THE NORTH, AND MODERATE \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS GRADUAL \r\nDEVELOPMENT AND ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT INDICATING A SOUTHWARD TRACK \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"