"ABPW10 PGTW 201500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/201500Z-210600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201352ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.2N \r\n124.5E, APPROXIMATELY 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA. ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING \r\nCONVECTION WITH NO DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A PARTIAL \r\nASCAT 10201213Z PASS REVEALS A WAVE FEATURE PASSING ISHIGAKIJIMA, \r\nWITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OF 25-30 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, \r\nASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN EDGE OF A STRONG COLD-SURGE EVENT. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS \r\nDEPICT THE WAVE FEATURE PUSHING WEST AND INTERACTING WITH THE COLD \r\nSURGE FLOW, PULLING GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN SIDE OF TAIWAN AND WRAPPING INTO THE CUSP, EVENTUALLY HELPING \r\nTO CLOSE IT OFF INTO A CIRCULATION CENTER. THE GFS IS THE MOST \r\nAGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM, TRACKING SOUTH-EAST OF TAIWAN \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS AND THE GEFS AND \r\nECENS ENSEMBLES ALSO SHOW THIS WAVE AND SUBSEQUENT INTERACTIONS WITH \r\nTHE NORTHEASTERLY SURGE BUT ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE THAN THE GFS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1)//"