"ABPW10 PGTW 231800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/231800Z-240600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n19.0N 119.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 118.8E, APPROXIMATELY 98 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF VIGAN. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nREVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH LOOSE CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER \r\nTHE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 230142Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED A VERY SMALL \r\nROTATION OFF THE NORTHWEST TIP OF LUZON, HOWEVER THE EASTERN SIDE OF \r\nTHE ROTATION WAS NOT CLOSED. WINDS WERE NEAR 30 KNOTS TO THE WEST, \r\nBUT WERE ASSESSED AS STRAIGHT LINE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD SURGE \r\nAND NOT WRAPPING INTO THE ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH 97W. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FORMATION WITH FAIR \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 5-15 \r\nKNOTS, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C. DETERMINISTIC \r\nAND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT ON THE FORMATION OF A SYSTEM, \r\nTHE ENSEMBLES ARE IN FAVOR OF IT WITH ECENS BEING AGGRESSIVE WHILE \r\nTHE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE DEPICTING A WEAKENING CIRCULATION WHICH \r\nEVENTUALLY OPENS UP INTO A WAVE FEATURE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWEST INTO \r\nTHE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nLOW//"