"ABIO10 PGTW 201800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z-\r\n211800ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.8N \r\n93.8E, APPROXIMATELY 131 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT BLAIR. ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201456Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICT A WEAKLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH \r\nFLARING CONVECTION AND SHALLOW BANDING BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE \r\nSYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 98B IS IN A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(30C), GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS). \r\nGLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98B WILL GENERALLY TRACK \r\nNORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTENSIFY. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"