"ABPW10 PGTW 131800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/131800Z-140600ZAPR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.6S 170.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S 168.0E, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM \r\nNORTH OF PORT VILA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nAND A 131419Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LLCC \r\nWITH SLIGHT LOW-LEVEL BANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP FROM THE NORTHEAST AS \r\nTHE SYSTEM TRANSITS SOUTH. 98P IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN A LARGER AREA OF \r\nFRAGMENTED CONVECTION THAT IS QUICKLY ORGANIZING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES THAT 98P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND A \r\nMODERATE RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. GFS IS CURRENTLY THE MOST AGGRESSIVE, \r\nSHOWING A QUICK INTENSIFICATION TREND AND REACHING GALE-FORCE WINDS IN \r\nTHE EASTERN PERIPHERY WITHIN 24 HOURS. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//"