"ABPW10 PGTW 220230\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/220230Z-220600ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZMAR2026//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220221ZMAR2026//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.7S 161.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 160.5E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM \r\nSOUTH OF HONIARA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN \r\nOBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING \r\nDEVELOPING IN ALL QUADRANTS. A 212237Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A DEFINED \r\nCIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF 25 KT WINDS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF \r\n98P. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(28-29 C). THE ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE IN THE FORMATION \r\nOF 98P THAN THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, THOUGH BOTH MODEL TYPES AGREE \r\nON 98P TRACKING SOUTHWARD WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24-\r\n48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW \r\n220230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"