"ABPW10 PGTW 101800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101800Z-110600ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101721ZJAN2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.7S 175.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5S 172.2W, APPROXIMATELY 134 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF NIUE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS \r\nDEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE. A 100926Z \r\nSCATTEROMETRY PASS SHOWS A WIDE SWATH OF GALE FORCE NORTHWESTERLIES ON \r\nTHE EASTERN FLANK OF THE CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION ESTABLISHING \r\nITSELF OVER ALL QUADRANTS. THE ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE \r\nSYSTEM EXISTS UNDER A NARROW ALLEY OF LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (5-15KTS) \r\nWITH VIGOROUS POLEWARD OUTFLOW.  SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 28-29 \r\nDEGREES AND WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACH 22S LATITUDE, \r\nWHICH IS WHERE THE TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO DROP, AND NOT BE CONDUCTIVE FOR \r\nTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOWS A VERTICAL STACK \r\nCIRCULATION THAT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 991 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS \r\nUPGRADED TO HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"