"ABIO10 PGTW 200200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/200200Z-201800ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191351ZJAN2026//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 26.0S \r\n37.2E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nWITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AT THE END OF A \r\nFRONTAL BOUNDARY. A 200001Z ASCAT (METOP-B) IMAGE DEPICTS 30 KNOT WINDS \r\nCONFINED TO THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND MODERATE POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE CONTINUOUS DEVELOPMENT, WITH GOOD \r\nAGREEANCE THAT 98S WILL TRACK GENERALLY EASTWARD OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE \r\nCHANNEL OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).////"