"ABPW10 PGTW 240600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/240600Z-250600ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240151ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240251ZOCT2024//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR\r\n8.0N 151.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 150.0E, APPROXIMATELY 437 NM\r\nSOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A\r\n232303Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF FLARING\r\nCONVECTION, WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AND\r\nAN AREA OF STRONG WINDS NOW WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL\r\nANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 98W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR\r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), GOOD RADIAL\r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS).\r\nGLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98W WILL GENERALLY\r\nTRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. \r\nSEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"