"ABPW10 PGTW 250600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250153ZOCT2024//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED \r\nNEAR 8.4N 150.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 148.3E, APPROXIMATELY 246 \r\nNM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nAND A 241610Z AMSR2 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA \r\nOF FRAGMENTED FLARING CONVECTION, WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL\r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED \r\nWITH THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED DIRECTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 98W IS IN A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nGOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(15-20KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98W WILL \r\nGENERALLY TRACK NORTHWESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"