"ABIO10 PGTW 230030\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/230030Z-231800ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZNOV2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.4N \r\n92.3E, APPROXIMATELY 437 NM SOUTH OF PORT BLAIR. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 222155Z SSMIS F18 91H MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE DEPICT A POORLY-ORGANIZED, YET CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION IS BEING DRIVEN BY A VIGOROUS WEST WIND BURST \r\nASSOCIATED WITH THE PHASE II MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION, WHICH IS EXPECTED \r\nTO PAUSE AND AMPLIFY OVER THE FAR WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN FOR THE NEXT FEW \r\nDAYS. ANIMATED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOPS SHOW BROAD CYCLONIC \r\nROTATION DEEPENING OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF SUMATRA. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW \r\nTO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99B WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE \r\nIS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) WITH 02S FINAL WARNING \r\nINFORMATION AND ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"