"ABPW10 PGTW 310600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZJAN2026-010600ZFEB2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.6S 136.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT \r\nOF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.4S 170.8W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 172.1W, APPROXIMATELY 178 NM \r\nEAST-NORTHEAST OF TONGA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) QUICKLY TRACKING SOUTHWARD AND AWAY FROM THE ASSOCIATED \r\nCONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C), BUT WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT 99P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWARD AND BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"