{"ObservationDate":"2026-01-20T10:00:00","Latitude":-14.8,"Longitude":151.3,"Windspeed":27.0,"Pressure":1000.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 99P","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 201000","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/201000Z-210600ZJAN2026//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZJAN2026//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200951ZJAN2026//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE","FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","6.3N 146.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 145.3E, APPROXIMATELY 411 NM ","SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A ","BROAD AND DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ","ALONG THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A ","MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR POLEWARD ","UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, MODERATE TO HIGH EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ","(20 TO 25 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C). ECENS ","IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OUT OF THE ENSEMBLE MODELS, HOWEVER, THE ","DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE MUCH MORE HESITANT ON THE CONSOLIDATION OF ","92W. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 92W TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE ","NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT ","12 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR ","1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","19.4S 162.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.5S 162.5E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM ","WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ","CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING ","BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED ","INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS INVEST 94P WITH A HIGHLY ","ELONGATED CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION DISPLACED FAR TO THE SOUTH AND ","NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER HAS BECOME IRREGULAR AND ILL-DEFINED ","OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM QUICKLY ACCELERATES POLEWARD. ","ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 94P IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ","ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ","AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GREATLY OFFSET BY ","SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE WEST AND MARGINAL (25-26 C) ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 94P CONTINUING TO ","TRACK QUICKLY SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH AN ASYMMETRIC ","WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 989 MB. FOR ","HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO ","HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST  ","AUTHORITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.","SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 191230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.","      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","14.8S 151.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S 151.3E, APPROXIMATELY 117 NM ","NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ","DEPICTS AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING ","CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR ","EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ","(15 TO 20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29 C). ","GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON 99P TRACKING GENERALLY EASTWARD WITH MARGINAL ","DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE ","WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CANCELLED TCFA AND DOWNGRADED AREA IN  ","PARA 1.B.(1) TO LOW."]}