"ABIO10 PGTW 181500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/181500Z-181800ZAPR2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181351ZAPR2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.0S 71.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 71.3E, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH \r\nOF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICT A POORLY ORGANIZED AND BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, \r\nGOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT, SHOWING GRADUAL \r\nWEAKENING IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 2.A.(1) WITH 29S (ERROL) \r\nFINAL WARNING INFORMATION.//"