"ABIO10 PGTW 190400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/190400Z-191800ZAPR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.0S 71.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 71.3E, APPROXIMATELY 428 NM SOUTH \r\nOF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LLCC. A RECENT \r\n180409Z ASCAT METOP-C 25KM PASS FURTHER REVEALS THE BROAD, WEAK NATURE \r\nOF THE CIRCULATION, WITH GRADIENT WINDS OF 30-35 KNOTS DISPLACED OVER \r\nTHE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\nOF 20-25 KNOTS, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, GOOD POLEWARD UPPERLEVEL OUTFLOW \r\nAND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30 C. DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS GENERALLY SHOW WEAK OR NO DEVELOPMENT WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD \r\nTRACK. THE GEFS MODEL PREDICTS WEAK DEVELOPMENT, WHEREAS THE ECENS \r\nMODEL SUGGESTS SLIGHTLY STRONGER DEVELOPMENT AMONG ITS MEMBERS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 29S (ERROL) INFORMATION DUE TO \r\nFINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//"