{"ObservationDate":"2024-10-24T06:30:00","Latitude":13.4,"Longitude":148.6,"Windspeed":23.0,"Pressure":1000.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 99W","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 240630","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/240630Z-250600ZOCT2024//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240151ZOCT2024//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240251ZOCT2024//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ","FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","8.0N 151.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 150.0E, APPROXIMATELY 437 NM ","SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A","232303Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF FLARING ","CONVECTION, WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AND AN ","AREA OF STRONG WINDS NOW WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 98W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), GOOD RADIAL ","OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS). ","GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98W WILL GENERALLY ","TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE ","WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. ","SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.","      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.4N ","148.6E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED ","INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF ","FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY, WITH A ","POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL ROTATION EMBEDDED WITH A MUCH LARGER ","ROTATION THAT EXTENDS FAR TO THE SOUTH. THERE IS NO CLEAR EVIDENCE AT ","THE MOMENT THAT FULLY CLOSED CIRCULATION IS PRESENT, HOWEVER, THERE IS ","NO DOUBT THAT THERE IS A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM ON THE INSIDE EDGE ","OF A BROAD ENHANCED WIND FIELD EXTENDING TO THE SOUTHEAST. ","ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 99W IS IN A GENERALLY ","FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW TO MODERATE ","(15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE ","TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE ","MIXED, WITH THE GFS SHOWING THAT INVEST 99W WILL CONTINUE ITS TRACK ","TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS, ","WHILE THE ECMWF SHOWS INVEST 98W TO THE SOUTHWEST BEING THE MAIN ","CIRCULATION THAT DEVELOPS. REGARDLESS, THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH ","99W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST TOWARDS THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND BRING ","GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS TO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","IS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2).//"]}