"ABPW10 PGTW 010200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010200Z-010600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZNOV25//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 138.9E, APPROXIMATELY 44 NM EAST \r\nOF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A \r\nBROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP \r\nCONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND THE NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LLCC. A \r\n312304Z 37GHZ GMI MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE CURVED \r\nBANDING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT FOR INVEST 98W \r\nWITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, \r\nAND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON STEADY INTENSIFICATION WITH A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 010200) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.6N 148.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 147.4E, APPROXIMATELY 184 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY ALONG THE \r\nDISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT.GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL \r\nCONTINUE WEST WITH GFS AND GEFS SHOWING A MORE SIGNIFICANT \r\nINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH//"