"ABPW10 PGTW 010900\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010900Z-020600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.4N 138.9E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.8N 147.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 147.7E, APPROXIMATELY 188 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A \r\nPARTIALLY OBSCURED LLCC WITH LOCALIZED BURSTS OF CONVECTION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, MODERATE WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, AND \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON THE \r\nSLOW CONSOLIDATION OF THE SYSTEM AS WELL AS ITS GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD \r\nTRACK, THOUGH GFS DEPICTS THE SYSTEM FORMING EARLIER THAN THE OTHER \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED \r\nAREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.//"