"ABPW10 PGTW 260600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZMAY2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n7.5N 141.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 138.5E, APPROXIMATELY 76 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 260001Z \r\nASCAT PASS SHOW AN ELONGATED AREA OF TROUGHING WITH BROAD TURNING. THE \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS ASSESSED TO BE POSITIONED IN THE \r\nNORTHEASTERN END OF THE TROUGH. THE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) IS \r\nMEASURED AT 150NM, WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE \r\nINITIAL POSITION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C). THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF THE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE \r\nIS THE SLOW CONSOLIDATION OF THE CURRENTLY HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON 99W TRACKING GENERALLY \r\nNORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE \r\nAND INTENSIFY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"