"ABPW10 PGTW 281200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/281200Z-290600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 04B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n3.7N 101.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N 103.5E, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTH \r\nOF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AS WELL \r\nAS A 280608Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A VERY BROAD AND \r\nDISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION WITH FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH \r\nCHINA SEA REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (28-29 C) \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR, AND PERSISTENT DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL \r\nCONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ECMWF BEING MORE FAVORABLE FOR A \r\nSYMMETRICAL SYSTEM WITHIN 48 HOURS. GFS ON THE OTHER HAND REMAINS \r\nHESITANT ON A WELL ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH THE REMNANTS OF 04B REMAINING \r\nRELATIVELY RAGGED THROUGHOUT ITS LIFE.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM//"