"ABPW10 PGTW 121200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/121200Z-130600ZFEB2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.2N 112.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 111.8E, APPROXIMATELY 307 NM \r\nNORTHWEST OF SPRATLY ISLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT \r\nBUT DISORGANIZED LLCC. FURTHERMORE, A 120211Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE \r\nREVEALS ENHANCED NORTHERLY WINDS (15-20 KNOTS) FUNNELING ALONG THE \r\nCOAST OF VIETNAM BUT NOT YET TURNING EAST AND WRAPPING INTO THE \r\nCIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT \r\nFOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH (2025 KNOTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR, MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MARGINAL SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (26 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN AGREEMENT ON A \r\nSOUTHERLY TRACK OVER WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT DUE TO FURTHER INCREASING \r\nSHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 16P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n23.6S 166.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.5S 168.1E, APPROXIMATELY 118 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED \r\nAS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH \r\nTROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH CONVECTION THAT IS BEING HEAVILY SHEARED FROM THE WEST. A 120945Z \r\nASCAT METOP-B PASS SHOWS A BELT OF EASTERLIES UP TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN THE \r\nSOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN \r\nUNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL TRANSITION WITH A DEEP LAYER OF \r\nDRY AIR OVERTOP THE SYSTEM, STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND BORDERLINE \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 25-26 C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT THE REMNANTS OF 16P WILL STAY NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE \r\nNEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE GETTING SHEARED APART BY AN APPROACHING LONGWAVE \r\nTROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. FOR \r\nHAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH \r\nWINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST \r\nAUTHORITY.THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN 2.C.(1) AS A LOW.//"