"ABIO10 PGTW 282200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/282200Z-291800ZJAN2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281351ZJAN2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\nIS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.3S 43.6E, APPROXIMATELY 113 NM SOUTH OF TOLIARA, \r\nMADAGASCAR. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND \r\nMIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS 92S WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. A 281916Z ASCAT-B \r\nPASS REVEALS WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS OVER THE SOUTH-WESTERN PERIPHERY \r\nOF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY MODERATE TO HIGH \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25KTS) A DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR INTRUDING INTO \r\nTHE CIRCULATION, STRONG WESTERLY OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY RELATIVELY \r\nWARM (26-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nIN CHARACTERIZING 92S AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE WITH BROAD AND ELONGATED \r\nCIRCULATION AND WIND FIELD. IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD WITH \r\nA BROAD AND ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD AND CAN POTENTIALLY INTENSIFY TO A \r\n35-KNOT SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. FOR HAZARDS \r\nAND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS \r\nAND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN 2.C.(2) AS A LOW.////"