"ABIO10 PGTW 071800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z-\r\n081800ZMAR2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n22.8S 41.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.0S 42.0E, APPROXIMATELY 99 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) AND A 071605Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY \r\nEXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION \r\nDISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW (10-15 KTS) VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD, AND WARM (28-\r\n30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). HOWEVER, A DEEP-LAYER DRY AIR MASS \r\nWRAPPING INTO 90S FROM THE WEST IS THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR IN \r\nINTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT \r\n90S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AS IT APPROACHES \r\nTHE EAST COAST OF AFRICA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE \r\nIS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."