WTIO20 FMEE 310623
PANPAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 31/12/2025
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 017/5 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2025 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 5 (GRANT) 961 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.4 S / 71.8 E
(FIFTEEN    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY ONE    DECIMAL EIGHT   DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP
TO 120 NM IN THE WEST SEMI-CIRCLE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS
WITHIN A 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 25 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 25 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT, UP TO 35 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 50 NM
IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 35
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN
QUADRANT, UP TO 65 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 80 NM
IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2025/12/31 AT 18 UTC:
16.0 S / 70.0 E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 80 NM SW: 80 NM NW: 60 NM
34 KT NE: 50 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 40 NM
48 KT NE: 30 NM SE: 30 NM SW: 35 NM NW: 30 NM
64 KT NE: 25 NM SE: 25 NM SW: 25 NM NW: 20 NM

24H, VALID 2026/01/01 AT 06 UTC:
16.2 S / 68.6 E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 80 NM SW: 70 NM NW: 65 NM
34 KT NE: 50 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 40 NM
48 KT NE: 30 NM SE: 25 NM SW: 35 NM NW: 25 NM

OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL=