WTPQ32 PGUM 070305 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression 16W Advisory Number 1 National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP162025 105 PM ChST Thu Aug 7 2025 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W FORMS EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGAN... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- Invest 98W has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 16W. The system has shown fairly rapid organization over the last 24 hours. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Agrihan, Pagan, and Alamagan. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions, including winds of 39 to 73 mph, are possible within 48 hours. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- Location...18.5N 147.6E About 125 miles east-northeast of Pagan About 130 miles east-northeast of Alamagan About 130 miles east of Agrihan About 265 miles north-northeast of Saipan About 395 miles north-northeast of Guam Maximum sustained winds...30 mph Present movement...west...270 degrees at 3 mph DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 16W was located near Latitude 18.5 degrees North and Longitude 147.6 degrees East. 16W is moving west at 3 mph. 16W is forecast to intensify through tonight, crossing near Agrihan, or Pagan Friday afternoon. It is expected to make a turn toward the northwest with a slight increase in forward speed through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. 16W is forecast to intensify through tonight, possibly becoming a tropical storm Friday as it passes near or north of Agrihan. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather Service at 500 PM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at 800 PM ChST. $$ Doll/Aydlett