WTPA40 LIJR 171018 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) **************************************************** * GREEN ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS-15 * **************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS-15 CAN HAVE A LOW HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 27. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 101.85 KM/H) -ON 17 JUN 2015 09:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS N/A -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000168/RAIN_1000168_27.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.2 M IN LA MANZANILLA (MEXICO). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 6/17/2015 11:00:00 AM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -99.70/12.90 3 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -100.20/13.10 4 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 65 84 N/A -100.40/13.60 5 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -100.30/14.10 6 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.40/14.50 7 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.80/14.70 8 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.70/14.70 9 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.60/14.70 10 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.10/14.80 11 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 103 121 N/A -100.20/14.80 12 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -100.20/14.90 13 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -100.00/15.20 14 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -100.10/15.50 15 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 131 159 N/A -100.30/15.80 16 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -100.40/15.90 17 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -100.90/16.40 18 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -101.30/16.70 19 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -101.80/16.70 20 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -102.50/17.00 21 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.00/17.00 22 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.50/17.20 23 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.90/17.40 24 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -104.30/17.50 25 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 149 186 N/A -104.40/17.80 26 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -104.50/18.20 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 103 121 N/A -104.80/19.00 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 65 84 N/A -105.20/19.80 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 47 65 N/A -105.70/20.60 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37 56 N/A -106.30/21.10 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 27 OF 17 JUN 2015 09:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 17 JUN 2015 11:00 LA MANZANILL MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 13:00 CUITZMALA MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 15:00 CHAMELA MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 08:00 MANZANILLO MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 08:00 SANTIAGO MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 10:00 BARRA DE NAV MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 19:00 CHOLA MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 09:00 ESTRECHO MEXICO 0.1 01 JAN 0001 00:00 0.0 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000168$AND;EPISODEID=27 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001 WTPA40 LIJR 171054 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) **************************************************** * GREEN ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS-15 * **************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS-15 CAN HAVE A LOW HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 27. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 101.85 KM/H) -ON 17 JUN 2015 09:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS N/A -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000168/RAIN_1000168_27.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.2 M IN LA MANZANILLA (MEXICO). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 6/17/2015 11:00:00 AM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -99.70/12.90 3 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -100.20/13.10 4 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 65 84 N/A -100.40/13.60 5 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 84 103 N/A -100.30/14.10 6 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.40/14.50 7 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.80/14.70 8 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.70/14.70 9 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.60/14.70 10 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93 112 N/A -100.10/14.80 11 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 103 121 N/A -100.20/14.80 12 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -100.20/14.90 13 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -100.00/15.20 14 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -100.10/15.50 15 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 131 159 N/A -100.30/15.80 16 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -100.40/15.90 17 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -100.90/16.40 18 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -101.30/16.70 19 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -101.80/16.70 20 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -102.50/17.00 21 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.00/17.00 22 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.50/17.20 23 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -103.90/17.40 24 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -104.30/17.50 25 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 149 186 N/A -104.40/17.80 26 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 121 149 N/A -104.50/18.20 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 103 121 N/A -104.80/19.00 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 65 84 N/A -105.20/19.80 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 47 65 N/A -105.70/20.60 27 GREEN 17 JUN 2015 10:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37 56 N/A -106.30/21.10 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 27 OF 17 JUN 2015 09:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 17 JUN 2015 11:00 LA MANZANILL MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 13:00 CUITZMALA MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 15:00 CHAMELA MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 08:00 MANZANILLO MEXICO 0.2 17 JUN 2015 08:00 SANTIAGO MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 10:00 BARRA DE NAV MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 19:00 CHOLA MEXICO 0.1 17 JUN 2015 09:00 ESTRECHO MEXICO 0.1 01 JAN 0001 00:00 0.0 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000168$AND;EPISODEID=27 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001