WTPN40 LIJR 312248 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) ******************************************************* * ORANGE ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUDELOR-15 * ******************************************************* SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUDELOR-15 CAN HAVE A MEDIUM HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 7. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 157.41 KM/H) -ON 31 JUL 2015 18:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 5K -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000191/RAIN_1000191_7.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.2 M IN GARAPAN (NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 8/2/2015 2:00:00 PM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 0 N/A 159.10/13.70 3 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 0 N/A 158.60/13.90 4 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 0 N/A 158.40/13.50 5 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 0 N/A 156.50/13.80 6 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 0 N/A 155.70/13.80 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 0 N/A 154.90/13.40 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 152.60/13.70 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 0 N/A 150.10/14.50 7 ORANGE 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 159 0 5K 147.60/15.20 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 186 0 N/A 145.10/16.00 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 224 0 N/A 140.50/17.70 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 0 N/A 136.10/19.50 7 GREEN 31 JUL 2015 22:48 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 0 N/A 131.80/21.40 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 7 OF 31 JUL 2015 18:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 6 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 02 AUG 2015 14:00 GARAPAN NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.2 02 AUG 2015 14:00 SAN ROQUE NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.2 02 AUG 2015 14:00 TANAPAG NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.2 02 AUG 2015 14:00 MUTCHO NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.2 02 AUG 2015 13:00 KAGMAN NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 13:00 SAIPAN NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 13:00 ASLITO NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 13:00 CHALAN KANOA NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 13:00 LAOLAO NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 13:00 SUSUPI NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 02 AUG 2015 14:00 AFETNA NORTHERN MARIANA I 0.1 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000191$AND;EPISODEID=7 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001