WTXX40 LIJR 271948 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) **************************************************** * ORANGE ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA-15 * **************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA-15 CAN HAVE A MEDIUM HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 11. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 083.33 KM/H) -ON 27 AUG 2015 15:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS N/A -VULNERABILITY: HIGH EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000203/RAIN_1000203_11.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 1.8 M IN RED BAY (THE BAHAMAS). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 8/31/2015 2:00:00 AM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -49.40/14.60 3 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -51.00/15.20 4 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 93 N/A -52.80/15.60 5 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -54.40/16.00 6 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -56.00/16.10 7 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -57.60/16.10 8 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -58.90/16.60 9 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -60.20/16.70 10 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -61.50/16.80 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -63.30/16.40 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -65.10/17.50 11 ORANGE 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 103 N/A -67.80/18.80 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 112 N/A -70.50/20.00 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 112 N/A -73.10/21.40 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 121 N/A -77.10/23.90 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 N/A -79.50/26.50 11 GREEN 27 AUG 2015 19:49 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -80.00/28.50 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 11 OF 27 AUG 2015 15:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 31 AUG 2015 02:00 RED BAY THE BAHAMAS 1.8 31 AUG 2015 02:00 NEW TOWN THE BAHAMAS 1.5 31 AUG 2015 15:00 JENSEN BEACH UNITED STATES 0.7 31 AUG 2015 15:00 PORT SALERNO UNITED STATES 0.7 31 AUG 2015 15:00 PORT SEWALL UNITED STATES 0.7 31 AUG 2015 06:00 KEMPS BAY THE BAHAMAS 0.7 31 AUG 2015 06:00 THE BLUFF THE BAHAMAS 0.7 31 AUG 2015 06:00 MARS BAY THE BAHAMAS 0.7 31 AUG 2015 15:00 ORCHID UNITED STATES 0.7 31 AUG 2015 15:00 WABASSO UNITED STATES 0.7 31 AUG 2015 15:00 CUMMINGS UNITED STATES 0.7 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000203$AND;EPISODEID=11 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001