WTNT40 LIJR 021437 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) ***************************************************** * GREEN ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE JOAQUIN-15 * ***************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE JOAQUIN-15 CAN HAVE A LOW HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 18. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 212.96 KM/H) -ON 02 OCT 2015 09:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 6K -VULNERABILITY: LOW EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000220/RAIN_1000220_18.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.8 M IN PITTS TOWN (THE BAHAMAS). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 10/2/2015 5:00:00 AM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -68.90/27.30 3 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -69.60/27.80 4 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -70.20/27.50 5 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -70.40/26.70 6 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -70.60/26.60 7 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -70.80/26.50 8 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 121 N/A -71.00/26.00 9 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -71.70/25.80 10 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 140 N/A -72.50/25.40 11 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 131 159 N/A -72.60/24.70 12 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 168 N/A -73.10/24.30 13 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 186 224 N/A -73.10/23.80 14 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 196 242 <1K -73.70/23.40 15 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 252 <1K -73.90/23.00 16 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 261 3K -74.40/23.00 17 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 261 3K -74.60/22.90 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 261 5K -74.70/23.30 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 261 3K -74.80/23.90 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 261 N/A -74.00/25.40 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 252 N/A -72.50/27.40 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 186 224 N/A -70.90/30.00 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 159 196 N/A -69.10/34.80 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 N/A -66.00/39.00 18 GREEN 02 OCT 2015 14:37 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 121 N/A -54.50/43.50 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 18 OF 02 OCT 2015 09:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 02 OCT 2015 05:00 PITTS TOWN THE BAHAMAS 0.8 02 OCT 2015 01:00 MOSS TOWN THE BAHAMAS 0.8 02 OCT 2015 01:00 CABBAGE HILL THE BAHAMAS 0.8 02 OCT 2015 20:00 DIXONS THE BAHAMAS 0.8 02 OCT 2015 20:00 VICTORIA HIL THE BAHAMAS 0.8 01 OCT 2015 23:00 MAJORS THE BAHAMAS 0.8 02 OCT 2015 14:00 PORT NELSON THE BAHAMAS 0.7 02 OCT 2015 09:00 ROSES THE BAHAMAS 0.6 01 OCT 2015 18:00 CHESTERS THE BAHAMAS 0.6 01 OCT 2015 18:00 BROWNS THE BAHAMAS 0.6 02 OCT 2015 05:00 SOUTH PT THE BAHAMAS 0.6 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000220$AND;EPISODEID=18 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001