WTPQ40 LIJR 200554 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) ************************************************* * RED ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KOPPU-15 * ************************************************* SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE KOPPU-15 CAN HAVE A HIGH HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 15. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 222.22 KM/H) -ON 16 OCT 2015 12:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 3.7 M -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000227/RAIN_1000227_15.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 1.1 M IN CASIGURAN B (PHILIPPINES). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 10/17/2015 5:00:00 PM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 0 N/A 140.10/15.70 3 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 0 N/A 139.00/15.80 4 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 0 N/A 137.80/15.70 5 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 136.10/15.60 6 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 135.00/15.80 7 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 133.70/15.70 8 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 132.80/15.20 9 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 0 N/A 131.80/15.30 10 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 0 N/A 130.20/15.70 11 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 0 N/A 128.90/15.80 12 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 131 0 N/A 128.00/15.50 13 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 149 0 N/A 127.30/15.60 14 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 159 0 N/A 126.70/15.50 15 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 168 0 N/A 125.70/15.80 15 ORANGE 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 196 0 80 K 124.10/16.10 15 RED 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 224 0 2.1 M 122.50/16.20 15 RED 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 0 2.3 M 121.40/16.30 15 ORANGE 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 149 0 2.1 M 121.00/16.80 15 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 0 N/A 120.70/18.00 15 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 120.70/19.20 15 GREEN 20 OCT 2015 05:54 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 120.70/21.10 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 15 OF 16 OCT 2015 12:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 17 OCT 2015 17:00 CASIGURAN B PHILIPPINES 1.1 17 OCT 2015 17:00 PASARUBOY PHILIPPINES 1.1 17 OCT 2015 17:00 CASIGURAN PHILIPPINES 1.1 17 OCT 2015 17:00 DINIPAN PHILIPPINES 1.1 17 OCT 2015 18:00 CASIGURAN PHILIPPINES 0.7 17 OCT 2015 15:00 TARIGTIG PT PHILIPPINES 0.6 17 OCT 2015 15:00 DINIYOG PHILIPPINES 0.6 17 OCT 2015 20:00 DEBUTUNAN PT PHILIPPINES 0.5 18 OCT 2015 01:00 BUGALLON PHILIPPINES 0.4 18 OCT 2015 01:00 ALACAN PHILIPPINES 0.4 18 OCT 2015 01:00 BATENG PHILIPPINES 0.4 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000227$AND;EPISODEID=15 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001