WTPA40 LIJR 211218 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) ******************************************************* * ORANGE ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA-15 * ******************************************************* SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA-15 CAN HAVE A MEDIUM HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 4. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 157.41 KM/H) -ON 21 OCT 2015 09:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 1.4 M -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000231/RAIN_1000231_4.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.4 M IN APISA (MEXICO). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 10/23/2015 7:00:00 PM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 56 75 N/A -94.80/13.20 3 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -95.30/13.10 4 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 84 N/A -96.00/13.00 4 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -97.60/13.20 4 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 112 N/A -99.80/14.00 4 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 121 149 N/A -101.80/15.10 4 ORANGE 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 149 186 1.3 M -103.30/16.50 4 ORANGE 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 159 196 530 K -104.00/20.50 4 GREEN 21 OCT 2015 12:18 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 93 N/A -104.00/23.00 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 4 OF 21 OCT 2015 09:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 23 OCT 2015 19:00 APISA MEXICO 0.4 23 OCT 2015 17:00 BUCERIAS MEXICO 0.3 23 OCT 2015 19:00 CAYACA MEXICO 0.3 23 OCT 2015 20:00 CHUPADERO MEXICO 0.3 21 OCT 2015 19:00 HUAJAPAN MEXICO 0.2 21 OCT 2015 20:00 EL ROBLE MEXICO 0.2 23 OCT 2015 18:00 SAN TELMO MEXICO 0.2 23 OCT 2015 20:00 EL REAL MEXICO 0.2 23 OCT 2015 16:00 MARUATA MEXICO 0.2 23 OCT 2015 23:00 EL CIRUELO MEXICO 0.2 21 OCT 2015 21:00 COSTA RICA MEXICO 0.1 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000231$AND;EPISODEID=4 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001