WTSS40 LIJR 161545 TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MESSAGE NUMBER 001 THIS IS AN AUTOMATIC ALERT FROM THE GLOBAL DISASTER ALERTS AND COORDINATION SYSTEM (WWW.GDACS.ORG) *************************************************** * GREEN ALERT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MELOR-15 * *************************************************** SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE MELOR-15 CAN HAVE A LOW HUMANITARIAN IMPACT BASED ON THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED AND THE AFFECTED POPULATION AND THEIR VULNERABILITY. UPDATED: THIS REPORT IS BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 21. WIND --------------- -TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL STORM (MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 092.59 KM/H) -ON 16 DEC 2015 12:00:00 UTC -POPULATION AFFECTED BY CATEGORY 1 (120 KM/H) WIND SPEEDS OR HIGHER IS 3.7 M -VULNERABILITY: MEDIUM EXTREME RAIN -------------- POTENTIAL RAINFALL IS CALCULATED BASED ON RAINFALL OBSERVED BY SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE SENSORS. THE IMAGE SHOWS THE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE: HTTP://DMA.GDACS.ORG/SAVED/GDACS/TC/1000242/RAIN_1000242_21.PNG STORM SURGE ------------- THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE HEIGHT IS 0.9 M IN SAN RAFAEL (PHILIPPINES). THIS HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED AT 12/14/2015 8:00:00 AM UTC. DETAILS =========== EVENT TIME LINE ---------------- THE STORM EVOLUTION IS SHOWN IN THE TABLE BELOW. ALERT LEVELS AND POPULATION ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE AREA FROM A POINT TO THE NEXT. ADV. ALERT COL DATE UTC CATEGORY SPEED GUSTS POPULATION LAT/LON (WIND IN KM/H) AFFECTED 2 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 135.50/10.10 3 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 84 0 N/A 134.60/10.50 4 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 0 N/A 133.40/10.90 5 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 0 N/A 132.40/11.30 6 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 103 0 N/A 131.20/11.50 7 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 0 N/A 130.20/11.90 8 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 168 0 N/A 129.10/12.30 9 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 0 6K 128.00/12.40 10 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 0 730 K 126.90/12.40 11 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 205 0 2.4 M 125.80/12.50 12 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 0 2.8 M 124.50/12.60 13 ORANGE 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 168 0 1.4 M 123.40/12.80 14 ORANGE 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 168 0 1.2 M 122.50/12.90 15 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 233 0 970 K 121.80/13.00 16 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 214 0 1.4 M 121.10/13.30 17 RED 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 196 0 170 K 120.50/13.70 18 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 159 0 20 K 120.00/14.10 19 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) HURRICANE/TYPHOON > 74 MPH 140 0 N/A 119.50/14.30 20 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 112 0 N/A 119.50/15.30 21 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 93 0 N/A 119.40/16.00 21 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 75 0 N/A 119.00/15.10 21 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL STORM 65 0 N/A 117.60/13.10 21 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 47 0 N/A 115.60/10.90 21 GREEN 16 DEC 2015 15:46 (X) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37 0 N/A 113.30/8.90 ============================================================================================================ LIST OF 10 HEIGHEST STORM SURGE LOCATIONS CALCULATION BASED ON ADVISORY NUMBER 21 OF 16 DEC 2015 12:00:00 (SIMULATION USING 0.5 MINUTE RESOLUTION) ARRIVALTIME (UTC) LOCATION COUNTRY MAX EST. HEIGHT (M) 14 DEC 2015 08:00 SAN RAFAEL PHILIPPINES 0.9 14 DEC 2015 08:00 BULUSAN PHILIPPINES 0.9 15 DEC 2015 03:00 POLA PHILIPPINES 0.9 14 DEC 2015 06:00 SAN JOSE PHILIPPINES 0.8 15 DEC 2015 03:00 MAGULON PHILIPPINES 0.8 14 DEC 2015 04:00 PAMBUJAN PHILIPPINES 0.8 14 DEC 2015 04:00 BANTAYAN PHILIPPINES 0.8 14 DEC 2015 05:00 MONDRAGON PHILIPPINES 0.8 14 DEC 2015 07:00 BERI PHILIPPINES 0.8 14 DEC 2015 06:00 BOBON PHILIPPINES 0.8 15 DEC 2015 00:00 CONCEPCION PHILIPPINES 0.8 THE FULL LIST OF LOCATIONS CAN BE VISUALIZED IN THE GDACS PAGE OF THE EVENT: HTTP://WWW.GDACS.ORG/REPORT.ASPX?EVENTTYPE=TC$AND;EVENTID=1000242$AND;EPISODEID=21 JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE, EUROPEAN COMMISSION (JRC-EC) - OFFICE FOR COORDINATION OF HUMANITARIAN AFFAIRS (UN-OCHA) ________________________________________ DISCLAIMER WHILE WE TRY EVERYTHING TO ENSURE ACCURACY, THIS INFORMATION IS PURELY INDICATIVE AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR ANY DECISION MAKING WITHOUT ALTERNATE SOURCES OF INFORMATION. THE JRC IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY DAMAGE OR LOSS RESULTING FROM THE USE OF THE INFORMATION PRESENTED ON GDACS WEBSITE. PLEASE REFER TO THE GDACS WEBSITE FOR SUBSCRIBING OR UNSUBSCRIBING FROM THE EARTHQUAKE ALERT EMAIL OR SMS SERVICE. END OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MESSAGE 001