Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for 0NE-20
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 262200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 119.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 119.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.7N 120.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.1N 122.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.3N 125.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
262200Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 119.7W.
26APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1002 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
1035 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, CA
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z
IS 13 FEET.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 262035 RRA
TCDEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
200 PM PDT SUN APR 26 2020

THE CYCLONE HAS LACKED SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FOR AT
LEAST 10 HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO INCREASINGLY MORE
STABLE AIR AND OVER SUB-25C DEG C SSTS. THEREFORE, THE DEPRESSION
HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS 25 KT IS BASED ON SEVERAL 23-25 KT WIND VECTORS LOCATED
N-E OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IN A 1718 UTC ASCAT-A OVERPASS. ALTHOUGH
THE SYSTEM MAY STILL PRODUCE SOME SPORADIC CONVECTION LATE TONIGHT
DURING THE CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD, DRY AND STABLE AIR ALONG WITH
STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR WILL LIKELY PREVENT ANY APPRECIABLE CONVECTION
FROM PERSISTING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE
REMNANT LOW TO WEAKEN AND THEN OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH IN 36-48 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 305/08 KT. A SUBSTANTIAL LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
NUDGE THE SHALLOW LOW TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER THIS
AFTERNOON, FOLLOWED BY A WESTWARD MOTION TONIGHT, WITH THAT MOTION
CONTINUING UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES MONDAY NIGHT. THE NEW NHC
TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY TRACK.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW, PLEASE
SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE,
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB
AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP .


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 262035
TCDEP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

The cyclone has lacked significant organized deep convection for at
least 10 hours, and the system is moving into increasingly more
stable air and over sub-25C deg C SSTs. Therefore, the depression
has been downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The initial
intensity is 25 kt is based on several 23-25 kt wind vectors located
n-e of the low-level center in a 1718 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. Although
the system may still produce some sporadic convection late tonight
during the convective maximum period, dry and stable air along with
strong westerly shear will likely prevent any appreciable convection
from persisting over the next day or so. This should cause the
remnant low to weaken and then open up into a trough in 36-48 hours.

The initial motion remains 305/08 kt. A substantial low- to
mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is expected to gradually
nudge the shallow low toward the west-northwest later this
afternoon, followed by a westward motion tonight, with that motion
continuing until the system dissipates Monday night. The new NHC
track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous
advisory track.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php .


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 262034 RRA
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
200 PM PDT SUN APR 26 2020

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 119.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
(15 KM/H). A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY LATE
AFTERNOON, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 262034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 119.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E
was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 119.4 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest is expected by late
afternoon, followed by a turn toward the west tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and the system is expected to dissipate by Monday tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 262034
TCMEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

..
FORECASTER STEWART

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 261601

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 26.04.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 118.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.04.2020 0 15.6N 118.4W 1007 25
0000UTC 27.04.2020 12 16.3N 119.7W 1009 24
1200UTC 27.04.2020 24 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 261601

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 261601

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.04.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 118.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 26.04.2020 15.6N 118.4W WEAK
00UTC 27.04.2020 16.3N 119.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.04.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 261601

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 261600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 005 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 15.5N 118.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 118.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.3N 120.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.8N 122.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.0N 124.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
261600Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 119.0W.
26APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1035 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
1035 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, CA
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262200Z, 270400Z, 271000Z AND 271600Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 261438 RRA
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
800 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2020

DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN WANING QUICKLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT
SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND THE SYSTEM BARELY MET DVORAK
CRITERIA FOR IDENTIFYING IT AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT 1200 UTC. GIVEN
THAT THE 0446 UTC ASCAT-A OVERPASS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION REVEALED A FAIRLY SIZABLE AREA OF 28-30 KT WINDS IN THE
NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, THERE MIGHT BE ONE OR TWO 30-KT VECTORS
REMAINING DESPITE THE RECENT DECLINE IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN, AND
THUS THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS NORTHWESTWARD, OR 305/08 KT. A STRONG
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND
THEN WESTWARD BY TONIGHT, WITH A WESTWARD MOTION BEING MAINTAINED
THEREAFTER UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES BY LATE MONDAY. THE NEW NHC
TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY TRACK, AND LIES CLOSE TO THE TIGHTLY PACKED CONSENSUS
TRACK MODELS

DEEP-LAYER DRY AIR AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES, COMBINED
WITH STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR OF 25-30 KT, SHOULD CONTINUE TO ERODE
WHAT LITTLE BIT OF CONVECTION REMAINS, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO RAPIDLY
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THE LOW
IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY NIGHT. THE NEW INTENSITY
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS
THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODELS IVCN AND HCCA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 261438
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

Deep convection has been waning quickly in the southeastern quadrant
since the previous advisory, and the system barely met Dvorak
criteria for identifying it as a tropical cyclone at 1200 UTC. Given
that the 0446 UTC ASCAT-A overpass mentioned in the previous
discussion revealed a fairly sizable area of 28-30 kt winds in the
northeastern quadrant, there might be one or two 30-kt vectors
remaining despite the recent decline in the convective pattern, and
thus the intensity has been held at 30 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion remains northwestward, or 305/08 kt. A strong
subtropical ridge to the north of the depression is expected to
gradually turn the cyclone toward the west-northwest later today and
then westward by tonight, with a westward motion being maintained
thereafter until the system dissipates by late Monday. The new NHC
track forecast is essentially just an extension of the previous
advisory track, and lies close to the tightly packed consensus
track models

Deep-layer dry air and cooler sea-surface temperatures, combined
with strong westerly shear of 25-30 kt, should continue to erode
what little bit of convection remains, causing the system to rapidly
degenerate into a remnant low by this afternoon or evening. The low
is then expected to dissipate by Monday night. The new intensity
forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and closely follows
the intensity consensus models IVCN and HCCA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 15.7N 118.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/1200Z 16.8N 122.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 261437
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 118.8W
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 118.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
motion toward the west-northwest is expected today, followed by a
turn toward the west later tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low this
afternoon or tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 261437
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
1500 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.8W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.8W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 118.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.8N 122.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 118.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 261000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.0N 117.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 117.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 119.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.4N 121.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.8N 123.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
261000Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 118.3W.
26APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1063 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
1163 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, CA
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261600Z, 262200Z, 270400Z AND 271000Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260735 RRA
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
200 AM PDT SUN APR 26 2020

EARLIER NRL WINDSAT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND GOES16 PROXYVIS SHOWED THE
DEPRESSION'S ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION STILL DISPLACED
WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF A SMALL, SHAPELESS PATCH OF DEEP
CONVECTION. A 0446 UTC METOP-A SCATTEROMETER PASS REVEALED A COUPLE
OF 30 KT WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE SURFACE CENTER. ACCORDINGLY,
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT.

LOW TO MID-LEVEL DRIER AIR INDICATED BY THE SHIPS INTENSITY
GUIDANCE, AND 20-25 KT OF WESTERLY SHEAR SHOWN IN THE UW-CIMSS
SHEAR PRODUCT, ARE CERTAINLY PROHIBITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
AN INTRUDING DRY, STABLE AIR MASS, INCREASING SHEAR, AND
GRADUALLY DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD INDUCE A
WEAKENING TREND SOON AND ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT. THE LARGE-SCALE AND REGIONAL GUIDANCE
ALL SHOW THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATING NO LATER THAN MONDAY NIGHT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE NORTHWESTWARD, OR 305/7 KT.
A LOW TO MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION
SHOULD INFLUENCE A CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH TODAY.
AFTERWARD, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A SHALLOW
REMNANT LOW, AND MOVE WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW UNTIL
IT DISSIPATES. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK, AND IS PRIMARILY BASED ON THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS AIDS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 15.2N 118.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 15.9N 119.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 16.4N 121.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260735
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

Earlier NRL WindSAT microwave imagery and GOES16 ProxyVIS showed the
depression's ill-defined center of circulation still displaced
well to the northwest of a small, shapeless patch of deep
convection. A 0446 UTC METOP-A scatterometer pass revealed a couple
of 30 kt winds to the east of the surface center. Accordingly,
the initial intensity is held at 30 kt.

Low to mid-level drier air indicated by the SHIPS intensity
guidance, and 20-25 kt of westerly shear shown in the UW-CIMSS
shear product, are certainly prohibiting convective development.
An intruding dry, stable air mass, increasing shear, and
gradually decreasing sea surface temperatures should induce a
weakening trend soon and ultimately cause the cyclone to become a
remnant low by tonight. The large-scale and regional guidance
all show the depression dissipating no later than Monday night.

The initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 305/7 kt.
A Low to mid-tropospheric ridge anchored north of the depression
should influence a continued northwestward motion through today.
Afterward, the cyclone is expected to degenerate into a shallow
remnant low, and move westward in the low-level easterly flow until
it dissipates. The new official forecast is similar to the
previous advisory track, and is primarily based on the multi-model
consensus aids.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 15.2N 118.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 15.9N 119.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 16.4N 121.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 260733
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 118.2W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 118.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
turn toward the west is expected by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The system is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 260732
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
0900 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.2W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.2W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 117.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 119.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 118.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

..
FORECASTER ROBERTS

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 260359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 26.04.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 117.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 26.04.2020 0 14.2N 117.2W 1006 24
1200UTC 26.04.2020 12 15.5N 118.1W 1007 23
0000UTC 27.04.2020 24 16.0N 118.9W 1008 24
1200UTC 27.04.2020 36 16.4N 120.3W 1010 19
0000UTC 28.04.2020 48 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 260359

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 260359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.04.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 117.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 26.04.2020 14.2N 117.2W WEAK
12UTC 26.04.2020 15.5N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.04.2020 16.0N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 27.04.2020 16.4N 120.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.04.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 260359

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 260400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.6N 117.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N 117.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.6N 118.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.3N 120.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.7N 122.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.0N 124.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
260400Z POSITION NEAR 14.9N 117.7W.
26APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1086 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
1130 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, CA
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261000Z, 261600Z, 262200Z AND 270400Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260232 RRA
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
800 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED A LITTLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE-E DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER, VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGES AND AN AMSR2 MICROWAVE PASS FROM A FEW HOURS AGO
INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS DISPLACED TO THE NORTHWEST OF
THE MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS HELD AT 30 KT, FOLLOWING THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB.
THIS ESTIMATE IS ALSO IN LINE WITH THE LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES FROM CIMSS ADT AND SATCON. IT IS ALSO WORTH NOTING THAT
DRY AIR IS WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION OF THE DEPRESSION, WHICH
IS LIKELY LIMITING ITS CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.

ALTHOUGH SOME VERY SHORT-TERM STRENGTHENING CAN'T BE RULED OUT AND
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CYCLONE COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM, WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING
INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR, DRIER AIR, AND
PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CAUSE THE
SYSTEM TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY NIGHT, WHEN THE SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 30 KT AND SSTS AROUND 24 C BENEATH THE CYCLONE.
ALL OF THE MODELS SHOW THE THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATING ENTIRELY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING IS UNCHANGED FROM EARLIER TODAY. THE
DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE
OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE, AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING IN THAT
DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, THE
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE A SHALLOW REMNANT LOW, AND IT EXPECTED TO

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 260232
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
800 PM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020

Deep convection has increased a little in association with Tropical
Depression One-E during the past several hours. However, visible
satellite images and an AMSR2 microwave pass from a few hours ago
indicate that the low-level center is displaced to the northwest of
the main area of showers and thunderstorms. The initial intensity
is held at 30 kt, following the Dvorak classification from TAFB.
This estimate is also in line with the latest satellite intensity
estimates from CIMSS ADT and SATCON. It is also worth noting that
dry air is wrapping into the circulation of the depression, which
is likely limiting its convective organization.

Although some very short-term strengthening can't be ruled out and
it is possible that the cyclone could briefly become a tropical
storm, weakening should begin on Sunday. The system will be moving
into an environment of strong westerly shear, drier air, and
progressively cooler waters. These conditions should cause the
system to become a remnant low by Sunday night, when the shear is
expected to be near 30 kt and SSTs around 24 C beneath the cyclone.
All of the models show the the depression dissipating entirely early
next week.

The track forecast reasoning is unchanged from earlier today. The
depression is currently moving northwestward on the southwest side
of a mid-level ridge, and it should continue moving in that
direction for the next 12 to 24 hours. After that time, the
cyclone is forecast to be a shallow remnant low, and it expected to
move westward in the low-level trade wind flow until it dissipates.
The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance
envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 14.8N 117.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 15.6N 118.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/1200Z 16.7N 122.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 260231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
800 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION WELL OUT TO SEA...
...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 117.5W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 117.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H) AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. A TURN
TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT.

..
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 260231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
0300 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 117.5W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 117.5W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 117.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.6N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.7N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 117.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

..
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 252200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 14.2N 116.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 116.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 117.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.1N 119.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.6N 121.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.8N 123.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 125.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
252200Z POSITION NEAR 14.5N 117.0W.
25APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1110 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
1130 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, CA
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 260400Z, 261000Z, 261600Z AND 262200Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 252032
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
200 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE DEPRESSION HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE
THIS MORNING. ITS WELL-DEFINED BUT EXPOSED CENTER IS DISPLACED
NORTH OF THE ACTIVE CONVECTION. SINCE THE ORGANIZATION OF THE
CYCLONE IS LARGELY UNCHANGED, THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT
FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST UW-CIMSS
SATCON ESTIMATE.

THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST REASONING. THE DEPRESSION IS
STILL FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT,
AND THEN TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT EXPLICITLY
SHOWN IN THE FORECAST, SOME MINIMAL SHORT-TERM STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TODAY AND THE SYSTEM COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM.
A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR, INCREASING SHEAR, AND COOLER SSTS SHOULD
CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN BY TOMORROW, AND IT WILL LIKELY BECOME A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN 36 HOURS. THE REMNANT LOW COULD THEN PERSIST FOR
ANOTHER DAY OR SO BEFORE DISSIPATING EARLY NEXT WEEK.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 14.5N 116.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 15.2N 117.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 16.1N 119.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 16.6N 121.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

..
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 252031
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
200 PM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING NORTHWESTWARD...
...NOT FORECAST TO LAST LONG...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 116.9W
ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT.

..
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 252031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
2100 UTC SAT APR 25 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.2N 117.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N 119.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.6N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 116.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

..
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 251600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 13.9N 115.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 115.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.9N 116.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.9N 118.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.7N 119.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.1N 121.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.2N 124.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
251600Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 116.1W.
25APR20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (0NE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1130 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z
IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z, 260400Z, 261000Z AND 261600Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 251448 RRA
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
800 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

OVERNIGHT ASCAT DATA SHOWED THE DISTURBANCE OVER THE CENTRAL EASTERN
PACIFIC BASIN HAS DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. FURTHERMORE,
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION
SINCE YESTERDAY. ADVISORIES HAVE THEREFORE BEEN INITIATED ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
BASED PRIMARILY ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT DATA. THIS MARKS
THE EARLIEST FORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE EASTERN NORTH
PACIFIC BASIN SINCE THE SATELLITE ERA BEGAN IN 1966.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND FOR LONG. DRY AIR IN
THE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO HAVE ALREADY WRAPPED AROUND
MUCH OF THE CYCLONE'S CIRCULATION, AND THIS IS LIKELY LIMITING ITS
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THIS SHOULD ALSO PREVENT THE DEPRESSION FROM
STRENGTHENING MUCH DURING THE NEXT 24 H, BUT IT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT
THAT THE SYSTEM COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ON SUNDAY, AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LOWER SSTS ALONG
THE FORECAST TRACK WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEPRESSION'S DEMISE, AND
IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN ABOUT 36 H, IF NOT
SOONER.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NORTHWEST AT 6 KT. THE DEPRESSION
SHOULD CONTINUE ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD HEADING FOR ANOTHER DAY
OR SO UNTIL IT BECOMES A REMNANT LOW. THE REMNANTS SHOULD THEN TURN
WESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW UNTIL IT DISSIPATES
ENTIRELY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 14.1N 116.1W 30 KT 35 MPH

>

Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 251448
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
800 AM PDT Sat Apr 25 2020

Overnight ASCAT data showed the disturbance over the central eastern
Pacific basin has developed a well-defined center. Furthermore,
convection associated with the low has increased in organization
since yesterday. Advisories have therefore been initiated on
Tropical Depression One-E. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt
based primarily on the aforementioned ASCAT data. This marks
the earliest formation of a tropical cyclone in the eastern North
Pacific basin since the satellite era began in 1966.

The depression is not expected to stick around for long. Dry air in
the surrounding environment appears to have already wrapped around
much of the cyclone's circulation, and this is likely limiting its
associated convection. This should also prevent the depression from
strengthening much during the next 24 h, but it can not be ruled out
that the system could briefly become a tropical storm later today.
On Sunday, an increase in vertical wind shear and lower SSTs along
the forecast track will contribute to the depression's demise, and
it is expected to become a remnant low within about 36 h, if not
sooner.

The initial motion estimate is northwest at 6 kt. The depression
should continue on a general northwestward heading for another day
or so until it becomes a remnant low. The remnants should then turn
westward with the low-level trade wind flow until it dissipates
entirely in a couple of days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 14.1N 116.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 15.9N 118.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 16.7N 119.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 27/1200Z 17.1N 121.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

>

Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 251443
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
800 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2020

...EARLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 116.1W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM PDT.

..
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

>

Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 251443
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
1500 UTC SAT APR 25 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 116.1W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 115.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.9N 118.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.1N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 116.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

>