Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-E-20
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

2020-07-01 04:02


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 010400

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 01.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N 113.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.07.2020 0 20.9N 113.0W 1006 23
1200UTC 01.07.2020 12 20.7N 113.0W 1007 21
0000UTC 02.07.2020 24 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 27.3N 174.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 04.07.2020 72 27.3N 174.2W 1009 29
1200UTC 04.07.2020 84 29.1N 173.4W 1008 27
0000UTC 05.07.2020 96 30.7N 172.2W 1009 24
1200UTC 05.07.2020 108 32.6N 171.7W 1009 24
0000UTC 06.07.2020 120 35.0N 171.3W 1008 25
1200UTC 06.07.2020 132 37.8N 172.0W 1008 30
0000UTC 07.07.2020 144 40.3N 174.1W 1011 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 36.1N 65.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 06.07.2020 132 36.7N 63.8W 1011 31
0000UTC 07.07.2020 144 37.7N 58.4W 1010 33

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 28.8N 83.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 06.07.2020 132 28.8N 83.9W 1009 29
0000UTC 07.07.2020 144 29.2N 83.4W 1007 28

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.5N 98.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 07.07.2020 144 11.5N 98.9W 1006 25


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 010400

>

2020-07-01 04:02


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 010400

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N 113.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 01.07.2020 20.9N 113.0W WEAK
12UTC 01.07.2020 20.7N 113.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 27.3N 174.2W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 04.07.2020 27.3N 174.2W WEAK
12UTC 04.07.2020 29.1N 173.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.07.2020 30.7N 172.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.07.2020 32.6N 171.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.07.2020 35.0N 171.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.07.2020 37.8N 172.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.07.2020 40.3N 174.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 36.1N 65.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 06.07.2020 36.7N 63.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.07.2020 37.7N 58.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 28.8N 83.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 06.07.2020 28.8N 83.9W WEAK
00UTC 07.07.2020 29.2N 83.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.5N 98.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 07.07.2020 11.5N 98.9W WEAK


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 010400

>

2020-06-30 20:36


Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 302035
TCDEP4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

Satellite images show that the cyclone continues to lack organized
convection, and thus no longer meets the requirements of a tropical
cyclone. The system is now post tropical, and this is the last NHC
advisory. The initial wind speed is 25 kt, perhaps generously,
based on continuity. The low should weaken and degenerate into a
trough of low pressure due to cool waters during the next day or so
while it moves slowly northwestward.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 20.9N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 02/0600Z 21.4N 113.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake


>

2020-06-30 20:36


Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 302034
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
300 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

...DEPRESSION BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 112.9W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E
was located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 112.9 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4
km/h), and this general motion should continue for the next day or
so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast, and the low should degenerate into a
trough of low pressure by Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


$$
Forecaster Blake


>

2020-06-30 20:36


Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 302034
TCMEP4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020
2100 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.4N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 112.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

>

2020-06-30 14:33


Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 301431
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

The depression's center remains exposed, with any limited convection
displaced more than 90 n mi northeast of the center. Effectively,
the system is on its way to becoming a remnant low this afternoon
if convection does not re-form closer to the center. The initial
wind speed remains 25 kt. The low should gradually spin down
during the next day or two over cool waters while it moves slowly
northwestward. Only a small northeastward shift was made to
the track forecast, and the low should degenerate into a trough of
low pressure in a couple of days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 20.8N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 20.9N 113.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 01/1200Z 21.0N 113.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 02/0000Z 21.2N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake


>

2020-06-30 14:32


Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 301431
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
900 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

...DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 112.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 112.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and
this general motion is expected for the next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The system should weaken into a remnant low later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake


>

2020-06-30 14:32


Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 301430
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020
1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 112.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.9N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.2N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 112.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



>

2020-06-30 08:36


Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 300835
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

Deep convection associated with the depression has waned since last
night and is now limited to a small burst displaced more than
75 n mi northeast of the cyclone's low-level center. An ASCAT-B pass
at 0517 UTC showed max winds of only 20-25 kt, so the intensity has
been lowered to 25 kt. The cyclone is now located over 24 deg C
waters and substantial redevelopment or organization of convection
is unlikely. It is therefore forecast to become a remnant low later
today. The remnant low should then spin down over the course of the
next couple of days until it dissipates later this week.

The depression has continued to move slowly northwestward, steered
by a mid-level ridge to its east. Once the cyclone becomes a remnant
low later today, weak low-level steering flow will likely cause the
system to meander for a few days until it dissipates. The NHC
forecast (both track and intensity) is mostly unchanged from the
previous advisory.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0900Z 20.6N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky


>

2020-06-30 08:36


Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 300834
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 113.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 113.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A
slow meandering motion is anticipated for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h)
with higher gusts. The system is forecast to become a remnant low
later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

>

2020-06-30 08:34


Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 300833
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020
0900 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.2W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.2W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 113.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY



>

2020-06-30 02:34


Original Message :

WTPZ44 KNHC 300232
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
900 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2020

The circulation associated with the area of low pressure located
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has
become better defined over the past 24 hours, and the system has
maintained convection for much of the past 12 hours. Although the
convection has not been particularly well organized at times today,
a new burst of convection developed just northeast of the low-level
center late this afternoon and has been persistent over the past
several hours. Based on these observations and Dvorak T-number of
1.5 from TAFB and 2.0 from SAB, the system is being designated as a
30-kt tropical depression. The system is expected to be a short-
lived tropical cyclone as it will be moving into an area of
increasing southwesterly vertical wind shear and over SSTs of around
24 degrees Celsius by Tuesday morning. As a result, the depression
is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Tuesday. The NHC
wind speed prediction follows the trend of the intensity guidance
and also calls for the remnant low to dissipate in 2 to 3 days.

The depression is moving slowly northwestward around the western
portion of a mid-level ridge that extends westward over central
Mexico. The cyclone should continue moving on the same general
heading with some reduction in forward speed as it weakens and is
steered by the weaker low-level flow. The NHC track forecast is
near the middle of the guidance envelope in best agreement
with the HFIP corrected consensus model.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0300Z 20.5N 112.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 30/1200Z 21.1N 113.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 01/0000Z 21.4N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 01/1200Z 21.6N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 02/0000Z 21.8N 113.8W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown


>

2020-06-30 02:33


Original Message :

WTPZ34 KNHC 300232
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020
900 PM MDT Mon Jun 29 2020

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...EXPECTED TO BE A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 112.6W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 112.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A
northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected over the
next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected overnight. Weakening should
begin on Tuesday, and the system is forecast to degenerate into a
remnant low when it moves over cooler waters by Tuesday afternoon
or evening.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


>

2020-06-30 02:33


Original Message :

WTPZ24 KNHC 300231
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020
0300 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.6W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.6W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.1N 113.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.4N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.6N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.8N 113.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 112.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



>