Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000637
Name PAWAN-19
From - To 03 Dec - 06 Dec
Exposed countries Somalia, Ethiopia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h, Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Dec 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
+ Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 108 km/h 0.4 m 664 mm 0.5
GFS 97 km/h 0.3 m 580 mm 0.5
ECMWF 79 km/h 0.3 m 768 mm 0.5
Beta Version - All weather systems in the area: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Somalia - Tropical Cyclone SIX (ECHO 05 Dec 2019)Thu, 05 Dec 2019 11:02

  • Tropical Cyclone SIX is moving west over the Indian Ocean, towards Puntland coast in Somalia. On 5 December at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 450 km east of Bayla (north-eastern Somalia), with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm).
  • SIX will continue west, approaching the coast of northern Somalia on the night of 6 December, with maximum sustained winds between 55-65 km/h.
  • Moderate to heavy rain are forecast over central-northern Somalia on 6-8 December. According to FAO, flash floods are likely to affect some regions including Mudug, Nugaal, Bari and Sanaag.
Arabian Sea, Arabian Peninsula and Horn of Africa - Tropical Cyclones SIX and SEVEN (ECHO 04 Dec 2019)Wed, 04 Dec 2019 11:04

  • A new Tropical Cyclone named SIX formed over the southern Arabian Sea. On 4 December at 0:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 920 km east of north Somalia coastal area, with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • SIX is forecast to continue moving west over the Sea toward the Horn of Africa as a Tropical Storm and it is expected to approach the coast of north Somalia on 7 December in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 65 km/h. Over the next 72 hours, moderate rain is forecast over north Somalia with locally heavy rain over coastal areas.
  • Meanwhile, another new Tropical Cyclone named SEVEN formed over the eastern Arabian Sea and started moving north far off the coast of southwestern India. On 4 December at 0:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 530 km west of Karnataka State, with maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • SEVEN is forecast to continue moving offshore. Over the next 72 hours, moderate rain is forecast over south Gujarat and north Maharashtra States.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2015. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 26 | About casualties: 3 | Last hour: 0

NASA tracking Tropical Storm 06A through Arabian SeaThu, 05 Dec 2019 19:11:00 +0100.

IMAGE: NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite passed over Tropical Storm Pawan or 06A on Dec. 5, 2019 as it was moving through the western Arabian Sea, spreading clouds as far northwest as... Credit: NASA Worldview, Earth Observing System Data an
...(more)
Japan unveils US$120b stimulus packageThu, 05 Dec 2019 09:27:00 +0100.

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe speaks at a debate session at the National Press Club in Tokyo July 3, 2019. — Reuters pic. TOKYO, Dec 5 — Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled US$120 billion (RM500 billion) in stimulus measures tod
...(more)
Japan unveils US$120b stimulus packageThu, 05 Dec 2019 08:57:00 +0100.

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe speaks at a debate session at the National Press Club in Tokyo July 3, 2019. — Reuters pic. TOKYO, Dec 5 — Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled US$120 billion (RM500 billion) in stimulus measures tod
...(more)
Japan Unveils $120 Billion Stimulus PackageThu, 05 Dec 2019 08:20:00 +0100.

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled $120 billion in stimulus measures on Thursday, to help the world's third largest economy overcome the aftermath of the nation's recent natural disasters. The package is also aimed at helping the n
...(more)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: JRC (57), (2), BOM (1), JTWC (1), NASA (1), NOAA (1), OCHA (1), TRMM (1), INFORM (2),