Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EPSILON-20
in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone EPSILON-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000732
Name EPSILON-20
From - To 19 Oct - 26 Oct
Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h Category 3
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 176 km/h 2.5 m 385 mm 0.5
GFS 126 km/h 2.6 m 177 mm 0.5
ECMWF 115 km/h 2.4 m 329 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical cyclone SAUDEL (ECHO 20 Oct 2020)Tue, 20 Oct 2020 13:05

  • Tropical cyclone SAUDEL (PEPITO in the Philippines) continues north-west towards the north-eastern coast of Luzon Island (Philippines). On 20 October, its centre was located about 310 km east of the Casiguran Municipality (Aurora Province, Central Luzon Region), with maximum sustained wind of 65 km/h (tropical storm).
  • SAUDEL is forecast to make landfall on late morning of 20 October over the northeastern coast of northern Luzon close to the Municipalities of Casiguran and Dilasag, with maximum sustained wind up to 65 km/h. After that, SAUDEL will cross northern Luzon and move over the South China Sea on 21 October.
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rain is forecast over most parts of Luzon and light to moderate rain is expected across Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon. Storm surge is expected over the western and eastern coast of Southern Luzon, the eastern coast of Eastern Visayas, Caraga, and Davao Region.
  • A Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 2 has been issued for Luzon, severe flood advisories are in effect for Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Calabarzon.
Bermuda - Tropical Cyclone EPSILON (ECHO 21 Oct 2020)Wed, 21 Oct 2020 13:00

  • A new tropical cyclone named EPSILON formed over the Atlantic Ocean on 20 October and started moving north-west towards the Bermuda Islands. On 21 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 780 km  south-east of the Bermuda main island, with maximum sustained wind of 120 km/h (Category 1 Hurricane).
  • EPSILON is forecast to pass well off (around 330 km east) the Bermuda main island early in the morning (UTC) of 23 October, with maximum sustained wind up to 140 km/h. It is expected to continue northward over north of the Atlantic Ocean slightly weakening, on 24-25 October.
  • Heavy rainfall, strong wind, and storm surge are forecast over Bermuda on 22-24 October. NOAA has issued a tropical storm watch over Bermuda.
Bermuda - Tropical Cyclone EPSILON update (ECHO 22 Oct 2020)Thu, 22 Oct 2020 13:01

  • Tropical cyclone EPSILON continued north-west over the Atlantic Ocean toward the Bermuda Islands, strengthening. On 22 October at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 450 km  south-east of Bermuda main island, with maximum sustained wind of 185 km/h (Category 3 Hurricane).
  • EPSILON is forecast to pass well off (around 250 km east) the Bermuda main island in the morning (UTC) of 23 October, with maximum sustained wind of 165-175 km/h (Category 2 Hurricane). On the forecast track, it is expected to continue northeastward over the North Atlantic Ocean, weakening, on 24-25 October.
  • Heavy rainfall, strong wind and storm surge are forecast over Bermuda on 22-24 October. NOAA has issued a tropical storm warning over Bermuda.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 709 | About casualties: 0 | Last hour: 0

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), INFORM (2),