Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22
in Nicaragua

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000933
Name JULIA-22
From - To 06 Oct - 10 Oct
Exposed countries Nicaragua
Exposed population 520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (09 Oct 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 46 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 140 km/h 1.7 m 547 mm 0.5
GFS 104 km/h 1.1 m 673 mm 0.5
ECMWF 97 km/h 1.1 m 583 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Leeward Antilles, Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras - Tropical Cyclone THIRTEEN (ECHO 07 Oct 2022)Fri, 07 Oct 2022 10:41

  • Tropical Cyclone THIRTEEN, formed over the southern Caribbean Sea on 6 October, crossed the Paraguaná Peninsula (north-western Venezuela) and is moving towards the Guajira Peninsula (north-eastern Colombia). On 7 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located about 200 km north-east of Maracaibo (north-western Venezuela), and about 75 km east of the eastern coast of Guajira Peninsula, with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h (tropical depression).
  • THIRTEEN is forecast to pass close to the coast of northwestern Venezuela and the Guajira Peninsula on the morning of 7 October. After that, it will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea close to San Andres and Providencia Islands on 8 October, and approach the coast of Nicaragua on 9 October.
  • For the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over northern coastal Venezuela, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, north-eastern Colombia (including San Andres and Providencia Islands), eastern and central Nicaragua, southwest Costa Rica and southwestern Panama.
  • A hurricane watch is in effect for San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Islands (Colombia) while a tropical storm warning has been issued for the coast of Colombia from Riohacha eastward to the Colombia/Venezuela border.
Central America - Hurricane JULIA (ECHO 10 Oct 2022)Mon, 10 Oct 2022 09:37

  • After passing over the Colombian archipelago of San Andrés and Providencia without casualties, hurricane JULIA made landfall on the morning of 9 October near Laguna de Perlas, on the central coast of eastern Nicaragua, as a Cat. 1 Hurricane. After that, JULIA weakened to a tropical storm.  
  • According to media, heavy rainfall and strong winds have been affecting Nicaragua and neighbouring Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Panama. In Honduras, three people died and more than 6,000 people were evacuated due to floods, river overflow, and landslides.
  • In Nicaragua, more than 13,000 families have been evacuated, about 800 houses have been flooded, and power outages affected about 1 million residents. At least 300 people have been evacuated due to floods in Costa Rica, while a number of families have been displaced to temporary shelters in El Salvador. 
  • On 10 October, JULIA is expected to continue moving along the Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala pacific coast, slightly weakening. Heavy rainfall will continue to affect Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Panama throughout 11 October.
JULIA-22 - EC/ECHO daily mapMon, 10 Oct 2022 19:13

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 1087 | About casualties: 82 | Last hour: 0

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Hurricane Julia in Honduras2022-10-14T17:12+0200.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),