Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JERRY-25
in Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone JERRY-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001223
Name JERRY-25
From - To 07 Oct - 11 Oct
Exposed countries Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Oct 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Montserrat)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 102 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS 140 km/h 1.2 m 3641 mm 0.5
ECMWF 144 km/h 1.1 m 1951 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Guadeloupe, Martinique (France) - Tropical storm JERRY (ECHO 19 Oct 2025)Tue, 14 Oct 2025 09:42

  • The passage of the tropical storm JERRY over the Lesser Antilles - in particular over the islands of Guadeloupe and Martinique - over 9-10 October caused heavy rainfall resulting in floods.
  • Media report, as of 14 October, one fatality and seven rescued people across the Guadeloupe islands.
  • Over the next 24 hours, more rainfall is still forecast over most of the Lesser Antilles.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

‘BETTER ORGANISED’ JERRY FORECAST TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE LEEWA.. 10/9/2025 3:39:00 AM.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Antigua and Barbuda and the rest of the Leeward Islands, as a strengthening Tropical Storm Jerry continues on a path expected to take it north of the islands late tomorrow into Friday. The Antigu
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), INFORM (2),