Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUCHOL-17
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GUCHOL-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 83 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 12.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Sep 2017 18:00 83 12.8 million No people Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people 16.8, 124.9 Philippines
GREEN
1 05 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2.4 million people 17.7, 123 Philippines
GREEN
1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.3 million people 18.8, 121.1 Philippines
GREEN
1 06 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20, 119.2
GREEN
1 06 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 10.4 million people 21.4, 117.9 China
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 24, 115 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines
China

Provinces

Region Province Country
Cagayan Valley Philippines
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
Ilocos Philippines
Guangdong China

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cabagan Cagayan Valley Philippines City 25000 people
Tuguegarao Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
San Nicolas Ilocos Philippines City 20000 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people
Haimen Guangdong China City 120000 people
Shalong Guangdong China City -
Huilai Guangdong China City -
Jiazi Guangdong China City 130000 people
Jieshi Guangdong China City 140000 people
Liusha Guangdong China City 120000 people
Ni Kou Guangdong China City -
Hongyang Guangdong China City -
Mianhu Guangdong China City -
Lufeng Guangdong China City -
Hepo Guangdong China City 130000 people
Zijin Guangdong China City -
Qiling Guangdong China City -
Laolong Guangdong China City -
Tuocheng Guangdong China City -
Chuantang Guangdong China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Tuguegarao TUG 21 Civ. Paved No 5900
Taggat 5 0
Laoag International LAO 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Calayan Philippines
Laoag PHLAO Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Wusongling Bwiling He 1958
Shiliutan Longjiang He 1959
Tangkeng Lian Jiang 1960
Longtan Long Jiang 1960
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang n/a
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang 1960
Hengjiang Liantian He 1971
Nangao Lu He 1985
Yitang Wuhua He 1984

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.