Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUCHOL-17
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GUCHOL-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Sep 2017 18:00 83 12.8 million No people Philippines, China
Green 2 05 Sep 2017 00:00 46 No people No people
Green 3 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 4.2 million No people China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people 16.8, 124.9 Philippines
GREEN
2 05 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.5, 124.9
GREEN
3 05 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.2, 121.4 Philippines
GREEN
3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.3, 119.7
GREEN
3 06 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 4.3 million people 22.8, 118.3 China
GREEN
3 07 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.2, 117.1 China
GREEN
3 07 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 25.4, 116.5 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China

Provinces

Region Province Country
Fujian China
Guangdong China

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Chengguanzhen Fujian China City -
Chihu Fujian China City -
Duxun Fujian China City -
Shenao Guangdong China City -
Huxi Fujian China City -
Houzhai Guangdong China City -
Zhelin Guangdong China City -
Suian Fujian China City -
Zhaoan Guangdong China City -
Shiliu Fujian China City -
Huanggang Guangdong China City 220000 people
Xiahe Fujian China City -
Daxi Fujian China City -
Sanjao Guangdong China City -
Shancheng Fujian China City -
Jiufeng Fujian China City -
Chayang Guangdong China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Huaang Kang China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Zumalin Xugouxi 1976
Dutang Baiyinxi 1959
Fengtou Zhang Jiang 1977
Tangxi Huanggang He 1962
Fenghuang 1969
Fengxi n/a

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.