Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PILAR-17
in Mexico
25 Sep 2017 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PILAR-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 37 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

37 km/h Current Max.

Up to 790000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 9 25 Sep 2017 18:00 37 790 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 6500 people 18.2, -105.2 Mexico
GREEN
2 24 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 330000 people 18.5, -105.3 Mexico
GREEN
3 24 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 190000 people 19, -105.5 Mexico
GREEN
4 24 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 510000 people 19.7, -105.9 Mexico
GREEN
5 24 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 740000 people 20.4, -105.7 Mexico
GREEN
6 25 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 600000 people 21.7, -106.2 Mexico
GREEN
7 25 Sep 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 460000 people 22, -106.5 Mexico
GREEN
8 25 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.6, -106.9 Mexico
GREEN
9 25 Sep 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.5, -107 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Nayarit Mexico
Jalisco Mexico
Colima Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Punta Mita Nayarit Mexico City -
Puerto Vallarta Jalisco Mexico City 190000 people
Manzanillo Colima Mexico City 110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Isla Maria Madre 5 0
San Blas 3 0
El Llano 12 0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International PVR 6 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
La Gloria 34 0
Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
San Blas MXSBS Mexico
Puerto Vallarta MXPVR Mexico
Ipala Mexico
El Tabaco Mexico
Chamela Mexico
Manzanillo MXZLO Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.