Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DOLORES-15 in Mexico from 11 Jul 2015 15:00 UTC to 19 Jul 2015 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-15

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	241 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	11 Jul 2015 15:00	139	No people	No people	Mexico
2	11 Jul 2015 21:00	157	No people	No people	Mexico
3	12 Jul 2015 03:00	167	No people	No people	Mexico
4	12 Jul 2015 09:00	185	No people	No people	Mexico
5	12 Jul 2015 15:00	176	No people	No people	Mexico
6	12 Jul 2015 21:00	176	No people	No people	Mexico
7	13 Jul 2015 03:00	176	No people	No people	Mexico
8	13 Jul 2015 09:00	185	No people	No people	Mexico
9	13 Jul 2015 15:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
10	13 Jul 2015 21:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
11	14 Jul 2015 03:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
12	14 Jul 2015 09:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
13	14 Jul 2015 15:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
14	14 Jul 2015 21:00	194	No people	No people	Mexico
15	15 Jul 2015 03:00	204	No people	No people	Mexico
16	15 Jul 2015 09:00	241	No people	No people	Mexico
17	15 Jul 2015 15:00	231	No people	No people	Mexico
18	15 Jul 2015 21:00	204	No people	No people	Mexico
19	16 Jul 2015 03:00	185	No people	No people	Mexico
20	16 Jul 2015 09:00	185	No people	No people	Mexico
21	16 Jul 2015 15:00	185	No people	No people	Mexico
22	16 Jul 2015 21:00	167	No people	No people	Mexico
23	17 Jul 2015 03:00	157	No people	No people	Mexico
24	17 Jul 2015 09:00	130	No people	No people	Mexico
25	17 Jul 2015 15:00	111	No people	No people	Mexico
26	17 Jul 2015 21:00	93	No people	No people	Mexico
27	18 Jul 2015 03:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
28	18 Jul 2015 09:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
29	18 Jul 2015 15:00	65	No people	No people	Mexico
30	18 Jul 2015 21:00	65	No people	No people	Mexico
31	19 Jul 2015 03:00	56	No people	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	11 Jul 2015 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.2, -98.9
2	11 Jul 2015 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, -99.5
3	12 Jul 2015 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.8, -100
4	12 Jul 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.6, -101.1
5	12 Jul 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.4, -101.8
6	12 Jul 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, -103
7	13 Jul 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16.2, -103.8
8	13 Jul 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.6, -105
9	13 Jul 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17.1, -106
10	13 Jul 2015 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.2, -106.5
11	14 Jul 2015 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	17.2, -106.9
12	14 Jul 2015 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	17.3, -107.5
13	14 Jul 2015 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	17.7, -108.2	Mexico
14	14 Jul 2015 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	18, -108.6	Mexico
15	15 Jul 2015 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	18.2, -109.2	Mexico
16	15 Jul 2015 09:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18.3, -109.9	Mexico
17	15 Jul 2015 15:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18.4, -110.2	Mexico
18	15 Jul 2015 21:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.7, -110.6	Mexico
19	16 Jul 2015 03:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.1, -110.9	Mexico
20	16 Jul 2015 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.5, -111.4	Mexico
21	16 Jul 2015 15:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.9, -111.8	Mexico
22	16 Jul 2015 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	20.2, -112.7
23	17 Jul 2015 03:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	20.8, -113.2
24	17 Jul 2015 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	21.2, -114.3
25	17 Jul 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	21.4, -115.1
26	17 Jul 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	21.3, -116.1
27	18 Jul 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.8, -116.8
28	18 Jul 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.9, -117.4
29	18 Jul 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	23.1, -118
30	18 Jul 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	24.3, -118.4
31	19 Jul 2015 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.6, -119
31	19 Jul 2015 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	27.5, -119.6
31	20 Jul 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	30.2, -120.3
31	20 Jul 2015 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	32.1, -120.9
31	21 Jul 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	33.3, -121

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mexico	<1000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Baja California Sur	Mexico

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Isla Socorro		100				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Roca Partido Island		Mexico
Socorro Island		Mexico

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 30 of 18 Jul 2015 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.