Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FANTALA-16 Off-shore from 11 Apr 2016 18:00 UTC to 24 Apr 2016 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FANTALA-16

Off-shore

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FANTALA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	278 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	278 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	11 Apr 2016 18:00	176	---	No people
2	12 Apr 2016 06:00	222	---	No people
3	12 Apr 2016 18:00	231	---	No people
4	13 Apr 2016 06:00	231	---	No people
5	13 Apr 2016 18:00	213	---	No people
6	14 Apr 2016 06:00	222	---	No people
7	14 Apr 2016 18:00	194	---	No people
8	15 Apr 2016 06:00	213	---	No people
9	15 Apr 2016 18:00	250	---	No people
10	16 Apr 2016 06:00	241	---	Few people
11	16 Apr 2016 18:00	250	---	Few people
12	17 Apr 2016 06:00	241	---	Few people
13	17 Apr 2016 18:00	278	---	Few people	Madagascar
14	18 Apr 2016 06:00	278	---	Few people	Madagascar
15	18 Apr 2016 18:00	259	---	Few people
16	19 Apr 2016 06:00	194	---	Few people
17	19 Apr 2016 18:00	157	---	Few people	Madagascar
18	20 Apr 2016 06:00	204	---	Few people
19	20 Apr 2016 18:00	194	---	Few people	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Seychelles, Madagascar
20	21 Apr 2016 06:00	167	---	Few people	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Seychelles, Madagascar
21	21 Apr 2016 18:00	167	---	Few people	Seychelles
22	22 Apr 2016 06:00	204	---	Few people	Seychelles
23	22 Apr 2016 18:00	157	---	Few people	Seychelles
24	23 Apr 2016 06:00	111	---	Few people	Seychelles
25	23 Apr 2016 18:00	93	---	Few people	Seychelles
26	24 Apr 2016 06:00	65	No people	Few people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	11 Apr 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-12.9, 71.4
2	12 Apr 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-13.3, 69.7
3	12 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-12.8, 68.8
4	13 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-12.9, 66.7
5	13 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	-12.7, 65
6	14 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-12.5, 63.4
7	14 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	-12.3, 61.6
8	15 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	-12.3, 59.7
9	15 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 4	241	no people	<1000 people	-12.4, 58
10	16 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	<1000 people	-12.3, 56.3
11	16 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 4	250	no people	no people	-11.5, 54.4
12	17 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 4	241	<1000 people	<1000 people	-10.6, 52.6
13	17 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 5	278	<1000 people	<1000 people	-9.8, 50.8
14	18 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 5	278	no people	<1000 people	-9.3, 49.7
15	18 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 5	259	no people	<1000 people	-9.3, 49.4
16	19 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	<1000 people	<1000 people	-9.3, 50
17	19 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 2	157	<1000 people	<1000 people	-9.8, 51.1
18	20 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	<1000 people	-10.5, 52.7
19	20 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	-11.5, 54.1
20	21 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-12.3, 55.6
21	21 Apr 2016 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-12.9, 56.6
22	22 Apr 2016 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-13.2, 57.1
24	23 Apr 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-12.3, 56.1
25	23 Apr 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-11.7, 54.8
26	24 Apr 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-10.5, 52.9
26	24 Apr 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-9.5, 51.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 24 Apr 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.