Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DARBY-16 Off-shore from 11 Jul 2016 21:00 UTC to 26 Jul 2016 03:00 UTC

26 Jul 2016 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARBY-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (24 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	11 Jul 2016 21:00	139	No people	No people
2	12 Jul 2016 03:00	148	No people	No people
4	12 Jul 2016 15:00	139	No people	No people
5	12 Jul 2016 21:00	157	No people	No people
6	13 Jul 2016 03:00	157	No people	No people
7	13 Jul 2016 09:00	167	No people	No people
8	13 Jul 2016 15:00	167	No people	No people
9	13 Jul 2016 21:00	167	No people	No people
10	14 Jul 2016 03:00	167	No people	No people
11	14 Jul 2016 09:00	157	No people	No people
12	14 Jul 2016 15:00	148	No people	No people
13	14 Jul 2016 21:00	157	No people	No people
14	15 Jul 2016 03:00	157	No people	No people
15	15 Jul 2016 09:00	157	No people	No people
16	15 Jul 2016 15:00	157	No people	No people
17	15 Jul 2016 21:00	167	No people	No people
18	16 Jul 2016 03:00	167	No people	No people
19	16 Jul 2016 09:00	167	No people	No people
20	16 Jul 2016 15:00	167	No people	No people
21	16 Jul 2016 21:00	185	No people	No people
22	17 Jul 2016 03:00	167	No people	No people
23	17 Jul 2016 09:00	157	No people	No people
24	17 Jul 2016 15:00	157	No people	No people
25	17 Jul 2016 21:00	148	No people	No people
26	18 Jul 2016 03:00	148	No people	No people
27	18 Jul 2016 09:00	130	No people	No people
28	18 Jul 2016 15:00	120	No people	No people
29	18 Jul 2016 21:00	120	No people	No people
30	19 Jul 2016 03:00	120	No people	No people
31	19 Jul 2016 09:00	120	No people	No people
32	19 Jul 2016 15:00	111	No people	No people
33	19 Jul 2016 21:00	102	No people	No people
34	20 Jul 2016 03:00	102	No people	No people
35	20 Jul 2016 09:00	102	No people	No people
36	20 Jul 2016 15:00	93	No people	No people
37	20 Jul 2016 21:00	93	No people	No people
39	21 Jul 2016 09:00	102	No people	No people
40	21 Jul 2016 15:00	102	No people	No people
41	21 Jul 2016 21:00	102	No people	No people
42	22 Jul 2016 03:00	102	No people	No people
43	22 Jul 2016 09:00	102	No people	No people	United States
44	22 Jul 2016 15:00	93	No people	No people	United States
45	22 Jul 2016 21:00	93	No people	No people	United States
46	23 Jul 2016 03:00	93	No people	No people	United States
47	23 Jul 2016 09:00	93	No people	No people	United States
48	23 Jul 2016 15:00	83	No people	No people	United States
49	23 Jul 2016 21:00	74	No people	No people	United States
50	24 Jul 2016 03:00	65	No people	No people	United States
52	24 Jul 2016 15:00	65	No people	No people	United States
54	25 Jul 2016 03:00	65	No people	No people	United States
55	25 Jul 2016 09:00	65	No people	No people	United States
56	25 Jul 2016 15:00	56	No people	No people	United States
57	25 Jul 2016 21:00	56	No people	No people	United States
58	26 Jul 2016 03:00	46	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	11 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.3, -106.3
2	12 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, -106.9
3	12 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.8, -107.6
4	12 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16, -108.5
5	12 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.7, -109.8
6	13 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	15.4, -110.4
7	13 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.3, -111.5
8	13 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15.2, -112.4
9	13 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	15.4, -113.6
10	14 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.6, -114.6
11	14 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.7, -115.5
12	14 Jul 2016 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.9, -116.9
13	14 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	15.9, -118.1
14	15 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	16, -119.1
15	15 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	16.1, -120
16	15 Jul 2016 15:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	16.5, -120.5
17	15 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	16.8, -121.4
18	16 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.3, -122.1
19	16 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.6, -123.1
20	16 Jul 2016 15:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.8, -123.9
21	16 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	18, -124.9
22	17 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	18.2, -125.8
23	17 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	18.2, -126.6
24	17 Jul 2016 15:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	18.3, -127.4
25	17 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.3, -128.3
26	18 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.4, -129
27	18 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	18.5, -130.2
28	18 Jul 2016 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	18.7, -131.1
29	18 Jul 2016 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19, -132
30	19 Jul 2016 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19.1, -133.2
31	19 Jul 2016 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19.4, -134.4
32	19 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	19.8, -135.4
33	19 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	19.9, -136.6
34	20 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	20, -137.8
35	20 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	20, -138.9
36	20 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.9, -139.8
37	20 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	19.9, -141.3
39	21 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	19.3, -143.8
40	21 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.9, -145.2
41	21 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.6, -146.6
42	22 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.9, -147.5
43	22 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.8, -148.1
44	22 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.6, -149.2
45	22 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.5, -151
46	23 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.7, -152.1	United States
47	23 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.8, -153	United States
48	23 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.8, -153.9	United States
49	23 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.9, -154.8	United States
50	24 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.3, -155.8	United States
52	24 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.8, -157.3	United States
54	25 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.7, -158.9	United States
55	25 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	22.4, -159.4	United States
56	25 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.4, -160.6	United States
57	25 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.2, -161	United States
58	26 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.6, -161.8
58	26 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	23.3, -163

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
United States	Hawaii

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Waipahu	Hawaii	United States	City	33000 people
Honolulu	Hawaii	United States	Major city	370000 people
Kapaa	Hawaii	United States	City	9500 people
Kaneohe	Hawaii	United States	City	35000 people
Aiea	Hawaii	United States	City	9000 people
Hilo	Hawaii	United States	City	41000 people
Ewa	Hawaii	United States	City	-
Nanakuli	Hawaii	United States	City	11000 people
Pearl City	Hawaii	United States	City	31000 people
Wahiawa	Hawaii	United States	City	16000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Honaunau, United States. This height is estimated for 24 Jul 2016 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (79 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 55 of 25 Jul 2016 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Honaunau	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Hookena	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Keokea	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Kealia	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Anahola	United States	0.1
	23 Jul 2016 23:00	Kalapana	United States	0.1
	23 Jul 2016 23:00	Royal Gardens	United States	0.1
	23 Jul 2016 23:00	Kupaahu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 06:00	Sea View	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 06:00	Kahaluu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Barbers Point Housing	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 07:00	Puhi	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 07:00	Lihue	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Wailua Homesteads	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Kealia	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Kapaa	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 01:00	Honuapo	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 01:00	Hilea	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 05:00	Captain Cook	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 05:00	Napoopao	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Papa	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 08:00	Mahaiula	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 06:00	Hanamaulu	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 06:00	Wailua	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 07:00	Kumukumu	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Haena	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Wainiha	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Princeville	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 04:00	Milolii	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Ewa	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Honouliuli	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Ewa Gentry	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Village Park	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Waipahu	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Waipio	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Pearl City	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Hickam Housing	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Halawa	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Halawa Heights	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Aliamanu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Fort Shafter	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Mokuleia	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Dillingham Ranch	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Waialua	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Haleiwa	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Kamooloa	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 09:00	Kalalau	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 01:00	Naalehu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 05:00	Keauhou	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 22:00	Aina Haina	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 22:00	Maunalua	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Waianae	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Maili	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Nanakuli	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Ewa Beach	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Iroquois Point	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Waimalu	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Aiea	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Honolulu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Kahaluu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Ahuimanu	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Heeia	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Kaneohe	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Maunawili	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Kaneohe Station	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Kailua	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Lanikai	United States	0.1
	24 Jul 2016 23:00	Waimanalo	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Makaha	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Makaha Valley	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Kawailoa Camp	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Kawailoa Beach	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Waimea	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Pupukea	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 00:00	Waialee	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Moloaa	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Hanalei	United States	0.1
	25 Jul 2016 08:00	Kilauea	United States	0.1